Macroeconomics & Policy - Frontier Ledger

Macroeconomics & Policy

20 articles on CPI forecasting, GDP nowcasting, central bank analysis, and macro trading strategies.

1

Forecasting CPI Surprises with Ensemble ML on Alternative Data

2

Nowcasting GDP Using Satellite Night-Lights and Mobility Data

3

LLMs for Parsing Central-Bank Forward-Guidance Nuances

4

Trade-Tariff Impact Modeling on Sector-Level Equity Returns

5

RL-Based Tactical Allocation Around FOMC Meetings

6

Election-Outcome Prediction Markets as Features in Asset Models

7

Sentiment-Driven FX Volatility Ahead of G-7 Summits

8

Modeling Fiscal Stimulus Effects with Causal Impact Methods

9

Real-Time Pandemic Economic Impact Dashboard Design

10

Global Supply-Chain Disruption Index via NLP on Shipping News

11

Predicting Sovereign Yield Spreads with Climate-Risk Variables

12

AI-Enhanced Taylor Rule Estimations for Policy Rate Forecasts

13

Effects of Negative Interest Rates: A Data-Driven Study

14

Commodity Price Reactions to Geopolitical Events via Event Study + NLP

15

Scenario Generator for Stagflation vs Deflation Risk

16

Adaptive Inflation-Hedge Portfolios Constructed by RL

17

Using High-Frequency Macro Releases in Intraday FX Trading

18

Measuring Economic Uncertainty with Topic Volatility in News

19

Nowcasting Unemployment Claims with Google Search Trends

20

Early Warning Signals of Debt Crises Using Ensemble Anomaly Detection